UFC 334 Main Card Preview and Kalshi Predictions
Ciryl Gane puts the heavyweight belt on the line against an unbeaten wrestler. Kayla Harrison defends her title against former two-division champion Amanda Nunes. Yet Kalshi’s strongest favorite comes in the opening bout, where flyweight prospect Bilal Hasan carries the widest price gap on the main card.
Saturday, November 14, 2026 · Madison Square Garden · Main card at 9 p.m. Eastern on Paramount+.
Kalshi snapshot at 4:26 p.m. Eastern time. The percentages are pre-fight contract prices expressed as implied chances. Each side is priced separately, so a pair can add to more than 100%. The matchup analysis below offers possible explanations for the prices. Kalshi odds · Broadcast details
| Bout | Favorite | Underdog |
|---|---|---|
| Main event | Ciryl Gane 67% | Josh Hokit 34% |
| Co-main event | Kayla Harrison 60% | Amanda Nunes 41% |
| Middleweight | Caio Borralho 60% | Yousri Belgaroui 42% |
| Welterweight | Uroš Medić 61% | Kevin Holland 41% |
| Flyweight opener | Bilal Hasan 89% | Luis Gurule 12% |
Ciryl Gane vs. Josh Hokit
Main event · Heavyweight title
Gane won the belt by stopping Alex Pereira in June. His eight-inch reach advantage, mobile footwork and experience in five-round fights help explain the market’s lean. If he can make Hokit reset after every rush, the champion can score with the jab and kicks from outside.
What could flip it? Hokit enters 10–0 with wins over Curtis Blaydes and Derrick Lewis. The former Division I All-American can use his forward pressure to push Gane toward the fence and wrestle from there. Watch what happens after the first takedown attempt. Keeping Gane down would change the fight more than simply getting him there.
Fight history and matchup stats
Kayla Harrison vs. Amanda Nunes
Co-main event · Women’s bantamweight title
Harrison’s case starts in the clinch. The two-time Olympic judo gold medalist won the belt by submitting Julianna Peña at UFC 316. Her ability to turn contact into a takedown and hold top position may account for much of her edge, especially with Nunes returning for her first fight since 2023.
What could flip it? Nunes brings championship experience at two weights and the punching power to punish a slow entry. Harrison is also returning from neck surgery, which postponed their original January booking. The early test is whether Nunes can break away cleanly when Harrison gets her hands on her.
UFC fight preview · Injury and rebooking timeline
Caio Borralho vs. Yousri Belgaroui
Middleweight · Closest market
Borralho bounced back from his loss to Nassourdine Imavov by beating Reiner de Ridder. His wrestling gives him another way to win rounds if the striking exchanges go Belgaroui’s way. That flexibility helps explain his edge in the tightest market on the card.
What could flip it? Belgaroui’s kickboxing becomes more dangerous the longer he can keep Borralho at the end of his strikes. He beat Djorden Santos in Glendale, Arizona, in September. If he defends the first few takedowns and keeps the fight in open space, he can make Borralho work at his preferred distance.
UFC fight preview · Sherdog matchup analysis
Uroš Medić vs. Kevin Holland
Welterweight
Medić is coming off a knockout of Daniel Rodriguez in Serbia. His ability to read opponents quickly and finish exchanges with power is a plausible reason for the market’s lean. The first round should show whether he can close the distance cleanly.
What could flip it? Holland has a 10-inch reach advantage and entered fight night without a knockout loss. He also beat Randy Brown earlier in the year. If Holland gets his jab going and makes Medić pay on the way in, he can stretch the fight past the early exchanges where Medić is most dangerous.
UFC fight history and reach comparison
Bilal Hasan vs. Luis Gurule
Flyweight opener · Biggest favorite
Hasan arrives unbeaten in 11 pro fights, with nine consecutive finishes and a knockout in his UFC debut. Gurule beat Daniel Barez for his first UFC win before taking a short-notice fight against Rei Tsuruya and losing by submission. Hasan’s run of finishes offers a clear explanation for the card’s widest price gap.
What could flip it? This is only Hasan’s second UFC appearance. Gurule can put that experience gap to work by slowing the early exchanges, forcing clinches and making Hasan reset. If the opener reaches the later rounds, we’ll see how the prospect responds when the quick finish fails to materialize.